Volume Projections
confidence level 10%
Sunrise IP Period Sunrise IP Period Quiet Period Initial Rollout Initial Rollout Initial Rollout Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic Basic
Year 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Month 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
months from start of Sunrise 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36
months from start of Initial Rollout 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51
Monthly Growth %
Low-90% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Medium-50% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
High-10% 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 2.5% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0%
New Registrations
Low-90% 112,500 75,038 0 150,000 112,500 93,750 75,000 76,500 78,030 79,591 81,182 82,806 84,048 85,309 86,589 87,887 89,206 90,544 91,902 93,280 94,680 96,100 97,541 99,004 99,994 100,994 102,004 103,024 104,055 105,095 106,146 107,208 108,280 109,362 110,456 111,561 112,118 112,679 113,242 113,809 114,378 114,950 115,524 116,102 116,682 117,266 117,852 118,441 118,441 118,441 118,441 118,441 118,441 118,441
Medium-50% 225,000 150,075 0 300,000 225,000 187,500 150,000 154,500 159,135 163,909 168,826 173,891 178,238 182,694 187,262 191,943 196,742 201,660 206,702 211,869 217,166 222,595 228,160 233,864 238,541 243,312 248,179 253,142 258,205 263,369 268,636 274,009 279,489 285,079 290,781 296,596 301,045 305,561 310,144 314,797 319,519 324,311 329,176 334,114 339,125 344,212 349,375 354,616 356,389 358,171 359,962 361,762 363,571 365,388
High-10% 337,500 225,113 0 450,000 337,500 281,250 225,000 234,000 243,360 253,094 263,218 273,747 283,328 293,245 303,508 314,131 325,125 336,505 348,283 360,472 373,089 386,147 399,662 413,650 426,060 438,842 452,007 465,567 479,534 493,920 508,738 524,000 539,720 555,912 572,589 589,767 604,511 619,623 635,114 650,992 667,267 683,948 701,047 718,573 736,538 754,951 773,825 793,170 801,102 809,113 817,204 825,376 833,630 841,966
1st Renewal Period[1]
Low-90% 112500[2] 84,375 70,313 56,250 57,375 58,523 59,693 60,887 62,105 147,411[3] 120,260 64,941 65,916 66,904 67,908 68,926 69,960 71,010 72,075 73,156 74,253 74,996 75,746 76,503 77,268 78,041 78,821
Medium-50% 225000 168,750 140,625 112,500 115,875 119,351 122,932 126,620 130,418 302,429 249,577 140,446 143,957 147,556 151,245 155,026 158,902 162,875 166,946 171,120 175,398 178,906 182,484 186,134 189,857 193,654 197,527
High-10% 337500 253,125 210,938 168,750 175,500 182,520 189,821 197,414 205,310 465,621 388,768 227,631 235,598 243,844 252,379 261,212 270,354 279,817 289,610 299,747 310,238 319,545 329,131 339,005 349,175 359,651 370,440
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
2ed Renewal Period
Low-90% 84375 63,281 52,734 42,188 43,031 43,892 44,770 45,665 46,578
Medium-50% 168750 126,563 105,469 84,375 86,906 89,513 92,199 94,965 97,814
High-10% 253125 189,844 158,203 126,563 131,625 136,890 142,366 148,060 153,983
Sales + Renewals
Low-90% 112,500 75,038 0 150,000 112,500 93,750 75,000 76,500 78,030 79,591 81,182 82,806 84,048 85,309 86,589 87,887 89,206 90,544 91,902 93,280 94,680 96,100 97,541 99,004 99,994 100,994 102,004 215,524 188,430 175,408 162,396 164,583 166,802 169,055 171,343 173,665 259,530 232,939 178,184 179,724 181,282 182,857 184,451 186,062 187,692 273,716 254,289 245,429 235,625 237,219 238,837 240,480 242,148 243,841
Medium-50% 225,000 150,075 0 300,000 225,000 187,500 150,000 154,500 159,135 163,909 168,826 173,891 178,238 182,694 187,262 191,943 196,742 201,660 206,702 211,869 217,166 222,595 228,160 233,864 238,541 243,312 248,179 478,142 426,955 403,994 381,136 389,884 398,841 408,011 417,400 427,015 603,474 555,138 450,591 458,754 467,075 475,557 484,202 493,016 502,000 679,909 647,058 635,483 619,670 627,562 635,609 643,817 652,189 660,729
High-10% 337,500 225,113 0 450,000 337,500 281,250 225,000 234,000 243,360 253,094 263,218 273,747 283,328 293,245 303,508 314,131 325,125 336,505 348,283 360,472 373,089 386,147 399,662 413,650 426,060 438,842 452,007 803,067 732,659 704,858 677,488 699,500 722,240 745,732 770,002 795,077 1,070,132 1,008,391 862,745 886,590 911,111 936,327 962,259 988,928 1,016,354 1,297,686 1,263,415 1,261,611 1,247,210 1,269,869 1,293,099 1,316,917 1,341,341 1,366,389
Cummulative Under Management
Low-90% 112,500 187,538 0 337,538 450,038 543,788 618,788 695,288 773,318 852,908 934,091 1,016,897 1,100,945 1,186,254 1,272,842 1,360,729 1,449,935 1,540,479 1,632,381 1,725,661 1,820,341 1,916,441 2,013,982 2,112,986 2,212,981 2,313,975 2,415,980 2,631,504 2,819,934 2,995,341 3,157,737 3,322,320 3,489,122 3,658,178 3,829,521 4,003,186 4,262,715 4,495,654 4,673,838 4,853,562 5,034,844 5,217,702 5,402,152 5,588,215 5,775,907 6,049,623 6,303,912 6,549,341 6,784,966 7,022,185 7,261,021 7,501,501 7,743,648 7,987,490
Medium-50% 225,000 375,075 0 675,075 900,075 1,087,575 1,237,575 1,392,075 1,551,210 1,715,119 1,883,945 2,057,836 2,236,075 2,418,769 2,606,031 2,797,974 2,994,716 3,196,376 3,403,078 3,614,948 3,832,114 4,054,709 4,282,869 4,516,734 4,755,275 4,998,587 5,246,766 5,724,908 6,151,863 6,555,857 6,936,994 7,326,878 7,725,719 8,133,729 8,551,130 8,978,145 9,581,619 10,136,757 10,587,347 11,046,101 11,513,176 11,988,733 12,472,935 12,965,951 13,467,951 14,147,860 14,794,918 15,430,401 16,050,071 16,677,632 17,313,242 17,957,059 18,609,248 19,269,977
High-10% 337,500 562,613 0 1,012,613 1,350,113 1,631,363 1,856,363 2,090,363 2,333,723 2,586,817 2,850,035 3,123,782 3,407,110 3,700,355 4,003,863 4,317,994 4,643,119 4,979,624 5,327,906 5,688,379 6,061,468 6,447,615 6,847,277 7,260,927 7,686,987 8,125,829 8,577,836 9,380,903 10,113,562 10,818,420 11,495,907 12,195,407 12,917,647 13,663,380 14,433,382 15,228,459 16,298,590 17,306,982 18,169,727 19,056,317 19,967,427 20,903,754 21,866,013 22,854,941 23,871,295 25,168,981 26,432,397 27,694,008 28,941,217 30,211,087 31,504,186 32,821,103 34,162,444 35,528,833
[1]

starts 2 yrs. After initial rollout
[2]

1st renewal of the basic
registrations
[3]
add sunrise renewals