D13.2.5 Estimated demand for the registry services in the new TLD.

The .geo model has four key variables that will determine the demand for the registry services; namely, the number of cells licensed, the number of GeoRegistries, the number of GeoRegistrars, and finally, the number of geodata files. Of all of the estimates, the number of geodata files is the most speculative.

The revenue model uses the following assumptions:

 

License or Fee

Definition of License or Fee

Amount in (U.S.$)

Payer (pays License or Fee)

Payee (receives License or Fee)

gTDL Registry-ICANN fee

Fixed fee

$250,000.00

gTDL Registry

ICANN

gTDL Registry-Sponsor Fee

Fixed fee + variable fee based on the number of geodata files registered

 

$250,000.00 +

( $0.01x number of geodata files registered)

gTDL Registry

Sponsor

GeoRegistry Accreditation License

Fixed fee

$20,000.00

GeoRegistry

gTDL Registry

Cell Server Registration Fee

Variable fee based on the number of cells licensed and on the number of geodata files registered

($10.00 x number of cells licensed) + ( $0.15 x number of geodata files registered)

GeoRegistry

gTDL Registry

GeoRegistrar Accreditation License

fixed fee

$500.00

GeoRegistrar

gTDL Registry

Geodata Registration Fee

Variable fee based on the number of geodata files registered

(Maximum of $1.00  x number of geodata files registered)

GeoRegistrar

GeoRegistry

 

 

REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)

 

YEAR 1

YEAR 1

YEAR 1

 

10%

50%

90%

# Cells Licensed

894K

894K

894K

# GeoRegistries

16

8

4

# GeoRegistrars

1,000

500

250

# Geodata files

10M

1M

2.5M

Sponsor

$350K

$260K

$275K

gTLD Registry

$11,258K

$9,498K

$9,518K

GeoRegistry

$10M

$1M

$2.5M

GeoRegistrar*

$(10.5M)

$(1.25M)

$(2.6M)

 


 

REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)

 

YEAR 2

YEAR 2

YEAR 2

 

10%

50%

90%

# Cells Licensed

1,058K

1,058K

1,058K

# GeoRegistries

34

17

9

# GeoRegistrars

4,400

2,200

1,100

# Geodata files

40M

10M

10M

Sponsor

$650K

$450K

$350K

gTLD Registry

$19,456K

$15,016K

$12,796K

GeoRegistry

$40M

$20M

$10M

GeoRegistrar*

$(42.2M)

$(21.1M)

$(10.5M)

 

 

REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)

 

YEAR 3

YEAR 3

YEAR 3

 

10%

50%

90%

# Cells Licensed

1,187K

1,187K

1,187K

# GeoRegistries

76

38

19

# GeoRegistrars

8,000

4,000

2,000

# Geodata files

200M

100M

50M

Sponsor

$2,250K

$1,250K

$750K

gTLD Registry

$47,388K

$29,628K

$20,748K

GeoRegistry

$200M

$100M

$50M

GeoRegistrar*

$(204M)

$(102M)

$(51M)

 

 

REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)

 

YEAR 4

YEAR 4

YEAR 4

 

10%

50%

90%

# Cells Licensed

1,302K

1,302K

1,302K

# GeoRegistries

136

68

34

# GeoRegistrars

18,000

9,000

4,500

# Geodata files

1,000M

500M

250M

Sponsor

$10,250K

$5,250K

$2,750K

gTLD Registry

$174,736K

$93,876K

$53,446K

GeoRegistry

$1,000M

$500M

$250M

GeoRegistrar*

$(100.9M)

$(504.5M)

$(252.2M)