D13.2.5 Estimated demand for the registry services in the new TLD.
The .geo model has four key variables that will determine the demand for the registry services; namely, the number of cells licensed, the number of GeoRegistries, the number of GeoRegistrars, and finally, the number of geodata files. Of all of the estimates, the number of geodata files is the most speculative.
The revenue model uses the following assumptions:
License or Fee
Definition of License or Fee
Amount in (U.S.$)
Payer (pays License or Fee)
Payee (receives License or Fee)
gTDL Registry-ICANN fee
Fixed fee
$250,000.00
gTDL Registry
ICANN
gTDL Registry-Sponsor Fee
Fixed fee + variable fee based on the number of geodata files registered
$250,000.00 +
( $0.01x number of geodata files registered)
gTDL Registry
Sponsor
GeoRegistry Accreditation License
Fixed fee
$20,000.00
GeoRegistry
gTDL Registry
Cell Server Registration Fee
Variable fee based on the number of cells licensed and on the number of geodata files registered
($10.00 x number of cells licensed) + ( $0.15 x number of geodata files registered)
GeoRegistry
gTDL Registry
GeoRegistrar Accreditation License
fixed fee
$500.00
GeoRegistrar
gTDL Registry
Geodata Registration Fee
Variable fee based on the number of geodata files registered
(Maximum of $1.00 x number of geodata files registered)
GeoRegistrar
GeoRegistry
REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)
YEAR 1
YEAR 1
YEAR 1
10%
50%
90%
# Cells Licensed
894K
894K
894K
# GeoRegistries
16
8
4
# GeoRegistrars
1,000
500
250
# Geodata files
10M
1M
2.5M
Sponsor
$350K
$260K
$275K
gTLD Registry
$11,258K
$9,498K
$9,518K
GeoRegistry
$10M
$1M
$2.5M
GeoRegistrar*
$(10.5M)
$(1.25M)
$(2.6M)
REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)
YEAR 2
YEAR 2
YEAR 2
10%
50%
90%
# Cells Licensed
1,058K
1,058K
1,058K
# GeoRegistries
34
17
9
# GeoRegistrars
4,400
2,200
1,100
# Geodata files
40M
10M
10M
Sponsor
$650K
$450K
$350K
gTLD Registry
$19,456K
$15,016K
$12,796K
GeoRegistry
$40M
$20M
$10M
GeoRegistrar*
$(42.2M)
$(21.1M)
$(10.5M)
REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)
YEAR 3
YEAR 3
YEAR 3
10%
50%
90%
# Cells Licensed
1,187K
1,187K
1,187K
# GeoRegistries
76
38
19
# GeoRegistrars
8,000
4,000
2,000
# Geodata files
200M
100M
50M
Sponsor
$2,250K
$1,250K
$750K
gTLD Registry
$47,388K
$29,628K
$20,748K
GeoRegistry
$200M
$100M
$50M
GeoRegistrar*
$(204M)
$(102M)
$(51M)
REVENUE from Licenses and Fees (*GeoRegistrar is Expense from Licenses and Fees)
YEAR 4
YEAR 4
YEAR 4
10%
50%
90%
# Cells Licensed
1,302K
1,302K
1,302K
# GeoRegistries
136
68
34
# GeoRegistrars
18,000
9,000
4,500
# Geodata files
1,000M
500M
250M
Sponsor
$10,250K
$5,250K
$2,750K
gTLD Registry
$174,736K
$93,876K
$53,446K
GeoRegistry
$1,000M
$500M
$250M
GeoRegistrar*
$(100.9M)
$(504.5M)
$(252.2M)